Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.617275 0.700802 0.790078 0.892443 1.006408 1.129223 1.271427
2025-08-03 0.494987 0.611798 0.746015 0.910963 1.107496 1.333409 1.611951
2025-08-10 0.399510 0.534800 0.701060 0.918767 1.194481 1.530025 1.967036
2025-08-17 0.327535 0.472769 0.662837 0.926693 1.279869 1.732188 2.350477
2025-08-24 0.273340 0.423608 0.632166 0.937704 1.367758 1.944326 2.766980
2025-08-31 0.226388 0.375683 0.594835 0.932576 1.430687 2.127154 3.160356
2025-09-07 0.195110 0.344999 0.576666 0.950512 1.525491 2.360005 3.641190
2025-09-14 0.163893 0.308593 0.543847 0.940821 1.576439 2.532258 4.047850
2025-09-21 0.142768 0.285004 0.527310 0.953199 1.660366 2.758073 4.549329
2025-09-28 0.120611 0.255477 0.496274 0.937037 1.695597 2.910169 4.948068
2025-10-05 0.110123 0.245599 0.497491 0.974830 1.821648 3.213331 5.603304
2025-10-12 0.100888 0.236459 0.498490 1.011644 1.948357 3.525715 6.293662
2025-10-19 0.089588 0.221350 0.486650 1.024373 2.035433 3.781226 6.913247
2025-10-26 0.078690 0.205078 0.470216 1.026308 2.102899 4.008102 7.500570
2025-11-02 0.068834 0.189229 0.452297 1.022933 2.159651 4.219790 8.075608
2025-11-09 0.060730 0.175875 0.437601 1.023971 2.224211 4.449124 8.695677
2025-11-16 0.054164 0.164979 0.426599 1.031075 2.300619 4.704508 9.377542
2025-11-23 0.047396 0.152132 0.409262 1.022379 2.344147 4.901134 9.964160
2025-11-30 0.043096 0.145034 0.404225 1.039820 2.442029 5.206182 10.768265
2025-12-07 0.037708 0.133676 0.387200 1.028049 2.477369 5.392496 11.359845
2025-12-14 0.034202 0.127091 0.381055 1.040618 2.565405 5.687223 12.174570
2025-12-21 0.029746 0.116526 0.363029 1.022630 2.584731 5.845494 12.733368
2025-12-28 0.028185 0.114957 0.368696 1.063123 2.737700 6.284123 13.867075